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A Token Is Not a Thing

Demand for GPT-5.5 and Opus 4.7 is nearly infinite, the mid-tier has vanished, and low-to-mid-range compute sits idle. The token economy sounds like selling electricity, but it's more like a gas station: 98-octane is sold out, diesel tanks are full yet self-service only, and 95-octane sits empty.

7 min read

AMD Gave a Developer Award to Someone Who Can't Code

Today I went to the AMD Developer Conference in Shanghai. Over 2,000 people packed the venue, and AMD gave one of its two developer awards to a non-coder who used an AI agent to rewrite a project in Rust. A year ago everyone worried about demand; six months later, all anyone asks is: 'Got more supply?'

5 min read

Three Questions After the AI Job Wave

The day South Korea's presidential office proposed turning AI windfalls into a universal dividend, Samsung's union was threatening to strike. That sat in the middle of three questions AI poses to society: unemployment first, then a deeper one—when work no longer defines value, what keeps people going?

11 min read

The AI Coding Business Ate Itself

Five years from GitHub Copilot to Claude Code. The more the direction proved itself, the harder life got for the earliest believers. Small models, workflows, standalone IDEs—foundation models swallowed them layer by layer. What remains sellable is clear; it just isn't software anymore.

7 min read

AI Vanguard: 10 Weeks Left

A friend asked whether I should take an offer as an AI transformation expert. After a three-hour conversation, I wrote down my verdict: don't skimp during the vanguard phase, don't touch IDEs, and don't let your agent become a black box. GPT-5.5 launched two weeks ago; in the remaining 10 weeks, the world will be stunned by a wave of unexpected breakthroughs.

8 min read

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